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Influence of periodic traffic congestion on epidemic spreading

  • East China Normal University
  • Central European University
  • University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
  • Kyungpook National University

科研成果: 期刊稿件文章同行评审

摘要

In the metropolis, traffic congestion has become a very serious problem, especially in rush hours. This congestion causes people to have more chance to contact each other and thus will accelerate epidemic spreading. To explain this observation, we present a reaction-diffusion (RD) model with a periodic varying diffusion rate to represent the daily traveling behaviors of human beings and its influence to epidemic spreading. By extensive numerical simulations, we find that the epidemic spreading can be significantly influenced by traffic congestion where the amplitude, period and duration of diffusion rate are the three key parameters. Furthermore, a brief theory is presented to explain the effects of the three key parameters. These findings suggest that except the normal ways of controlling contagion in working places and long-distance traveling, controlling the contagion in daily traffic congestion may be another effective way to reduce epidemic spreading.

源语言英语
文章编号1650048
期刊International Journal of Modern Physics C
27
5
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 1 5月 2016

联合国可持续发展目标

此成果有助于实现下列可持续发展目标:

  1. 可持续发展目标 9 - 产业、创新和基础设施
    可持续发展目标 9 产业、创新和基础设施
  2. 可持续发展目标 11 - 可持续城市和社区
    可持续发展目标 11 可持续城市和社区

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