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Evaluating the Influence of Multisource Typhoon Precipitation Data on Multiscale Urban Pluvial Flood Modeling

  • Yi Lu
  • , Jie Yin*
  • , Dandan Wang
  • , Yuhan Yang
  • , Hui Yu
  • , Peiyan Chen
  • , Shuai Zhang
  • *此作品的通讯作者
  • East China Normal University
  • China Meteorological Administration
  • National Disaster Reduction Center of China

科研成果: 期刊稿件文章同行评审

摘要

Based on station precipitation observations, radar quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE), and radar fusion data during Typhoon Fitow (2013), the influence of multisource precipitation data on multiscale urban typhoon pluvial flood modeling is studied. Using Shanghai, China, as the study area, a simplified 2D hydrodynamic model is applied to simulations. Combined with actual flood incidents reported by the public and soil moisture data, we perform multiscale verifications and determine the applicability of three precipitation datasets in the modeling. The results are as follows: (1) At the city scale, although QPE have higher spatial resolution, these estimates are lower than station observations. Radar fusion data have both high accuracy and high spatial resolution. For flood depths above 5 cm, the radar fusion precipitation scenario can improve the matching probability by 6%. (2) At the neighborhood scale, the radar fusion precipitation scenario can effectively mitigate the problems of an uneven spatial distribution of stations and a weak QPE to accurately capture pluvial details. (3) One fixed-point assessment shows that different precipitation data have little influence on the temporal characteristics of the modeling result—all three types of data can accurately reflect flood occurrence times. This work can provide a scientific basis for constructing effective urban pluvial flood monitoring systems.

源语言英语
页(从-至)974-986
页数13
期刊International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
13
6
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 12月 2022

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