多灾种综合风险评估与防范的理论认知:风险防范“五维”范式

In the context of climate change, economic globalization and rapid urbanization, human society is facing increasing multi-hazards risk. Integrated Risk Governance(IRG)is a matter of the safety of people's lives and property as well as social harmony and stability. Also, IRG is an important part of the national public security system and the sustainable development strategy in China. On the basis of systematically combing the experience of the world's disaster risk governance actions and objectively examining the existing problems in China's practical work, we put forward a five-dimensional paradigm for integrated risk governance, starting from the actual national conditions of China. Specifically, the five dimensions include constructing theories, improving systems, optimizing management modes, developing coping strategies and formulating control measures. In the face of the increasingly complex and severe multi-hazards risk, we need to constantly strengthen the research on risk formation mechanisms and its multi-dimensional impacts, and push on the work of risk survey, assessment, monitoring, and early warning. Meanwhile, it is necessary to promote the reform of systems, which primarily includes incorporating the powerful economic and social forces in IRG, improving the legal system to provide essential protection for the cooperation between government and the social forces, and enhancing the effectiveness of contingency plans. Besides, it is also important to achieve the transition of informatization, intellectualization, and refinement management in IRG relying on modern science and technology. Overall, the five-dimensional paradigm is designed to provide strong support and all-round guarantee for the improvement of IRG and the co-ordinated planning of safety and development in China.