Short-term performance metrics forecasting for virtual machine to support anomaly detection using hybrid ARIMA-WNN Model

  • Juan Qiu
  • , Qingfeng Du
  • , Wei Wang
  • , Kanglin Yin
  • , Liang Chen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

14 Scopus citations

Abstract

Anomaly detection is a significant functionality in most cloud monitoring applications. Time-series forecasting model could be easily used for predicting the values of the performance metrics which could be used for representing the performance status of the cloud environment. The proposed hybrid model combines both Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) models. Firstly, ARIMA model is employed to firstly predict the linear component and then WNN model is used for the nonlinear residual component prediction. Finally, the results of the two parts are combined into the final prediction value of the performance metric. Finally the experimental results show that the hybrid model could produce more accurate short-term prediction than other models.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2019 IEEE 43rd Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference, COMPSAC 2019
EditorsVladimir Getov, Jean-Luc Gaudiot, Nariyoshi Yamai, Stelvio Cimato, Morris Chang, Yuuichi Teranishi, Ji-Jiang Yang, Hong Va Leong, Hossian Shahriar, Michiharu Takemoto, Dave Towey, Hiroki Takakura, Atilla Elci, Susumu Takeuchi, Satish Puri
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages330-335
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728126074
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2019
Externally publishedYes
Event43rd IEEE Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference, COMPSAC 2019 - Milwaukee, United States
Duration: 15 Jul 201919 Jul 2019

Publication series

NameProceedings - International Computer Software and Applications Conference
Volume2
ISSN (Print)0730-3157

Conference

Conference43rd IEEE Annual Computer Software and Applications Conference, COMPSAC 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityMilwaukee
Period15/07/1919/07/19

Keywords

  • ARIMA model
  • Anomaly Detection
  • Hybrid Model
  • Performance Forecasting
  • Wavelet Neural Network

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