Sediment erodibility in the Changjiang (Yangtze) subaqueous delta: spatial–temporal distribution and sedimentary significance

Delta evolution in the context of no sediment discharge has become a global concern, and an accretion-to-erosion conversion is occurring in the Yangtze estuary. This conversion could threaten Changjiang subaqueous delta development. Sediment erodibility is an important indicator of subaqueous delta vulnerability. However, the present and future erodibility of the Changjiang subaqueous delta remains unclear. In this study, 37 short cores were collected from the Changjiang subaqueous delta, and the critical shear stress of the sediment was measured using a cohesive strength meter (CSM) and compared with estimates based on an empirical Shields diagram. The sediment erodibility was analyzed by comparing the sediment critical shear stress with the bed shear stress simulated using a numerical model (i.e., FVCOM), and sediment activity was introduced to discuss the geomorphological change in the subaqueous delta. The CSM-derived critical shear stress is significantly higher than that derived from the empirical Shields formula, but it better shows the erodibility of the sediment. The annual surface sediment activity ranges from 5% to 30% based on the CSM, indicating low surface erodibility. Moreover, the critical shear stress in this region increases as water depth increases, but the bed shear stress shows the opposite trend. Therefore, the erodibility of the Changjiang subaqueous delta is lower than that of the shallow area, indicating no accretion-erosion conversion or continued vertical erosion under sediment starvation in the coming decades. These findings can provide suggestions for erosion assessment and management in large river deltas under decreasing sediment discharge.