Robust time-consistent mean–variance portfolio selection problem with multivariate stochastic volatility

  • Tingjin Yan*
  • , Bingyan Han
  • , Chi Seng Pun
  • , Hoi Ying Wong
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

15 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper solves for the robust time-consistent mean–variance portfolio selection problem on multiple risky assets under a principle component stochastic volatility model. The model uncertainty is introduced to the drifts of the risky assets prices and the stochastic eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of asset returns. Using an extended dynamic programming approach, we manage to derive a semi-closed form solution of the desired portfolio via the solution to a coupled matrix Riccati equation. We provide the conditions, under which we prove the existence and the boundedness of the solution to the coupled matrix Riccati equation and derive the value function of the control problem. Moreover, we conduct numerical and empirical studies to perform sensitivity analyses and examine the losses due to ignoring model uncertainty or volatility information.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)699-724
Number of pages26
JournalMathematics and Financial Economics
Volume14
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Sep 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Dominated model uncertainty
  • Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman–Isaacs equations
  • Mean–variance portfolio selection
  • Principal component stochastic volatility model
  • Stochastic covariance matrix
  • Time-inconsistency

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