Reconstructing a georeferenced inventory of flooding hazards in Raoping, Guangdong province, China, from 1492 to 1985

Lan Zhao, Jingfeng Xu, Rong Zhao, Zekun Wang*, Yuanzhi Yao

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

For ancient times, there is a scarcity of instrumental water flow data, which challenges the hydrological science community to understand the evolution of flood risk under changing climate over the centennial scale. Based on the historical records of flood events, the first spatiotemporal database of flood risk occurrence was established in Raoping county, Guangdong, China, from 1492 to 1985 (a 494-year period), with intensive human interpretation and local investigation. Specifically, spatially explicit flood events of the river network were provided for each flood episode. A detailed analysis of the database shows a high frequency of flood risk in summer and early autumn. Specifically, a significant (p < 0.05) increase has been found in flood risks since 1960. However, flooding decreased significantly in recent decades due to meteorological and hydrological factors, as well as the population density and migration during the 500-year period. A spatial clustering of flood events in the northern and southern parts is also confirmed, which shows an impact of population dynamics on a centennial scale. Such methods can be a reference for establishing China’s flooding-database for ancient periods, promoting a better understanding of natural hazards and associated human behaviors in the context of long-term climate change.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)5763-5777
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of Water and Climate Change
Volume15
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Dec 2024

Keywords

  • flooding
  • geographic information system
  • hydrology
  • natural hazard
  • southern China

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