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Recent intensified riverine CO2 emission across the Northern Hemisphere permafrost region

  • Cuicui Mu*
  • , Kun Li
  • , Shaoda Liu
  • , Yuguo Wei
  • , Mei Mu
  • , Xuexue Shang
  • , Fumei Liu
  • , Chunling Zhang
  • , Hebin Liu
  • , Tanguang Gao
  • , Chunlin Song
  • , Liwei Zhang
  • , Jan Karlsson
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education)
  • Lanzhou University
  • State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science
  • CAS - Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources
  • Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability
  • Qinghai Normal University
  • School of Environment
  • Beijing Normal University
  • College of Water Resource and Hydropower
  • Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC)
  • Umeå University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Global warming causes permafrost thawing, transferring large amounts of soil carbon into rivers, which inevitably accelerates riverine CO2 release. However, temporally and spatially explicit variations of riverine CO2 emissions remain unclear, limiting the assessment of land carbon-climate feedback. Using new and published 5685 riverine CO2 partial pressure data in the Arctic and Tibetan Plateau, we show that current riverine CO2 emission across the Northern Hemisphere permafrost zone is 200 ± 15 Tg C yr⁻1. The emission offsets 28.1 ± 2.1% of the land carbon uptake in the Northern Hemisphere permafrost zone, with large regional variability of 13.1 to 63.1%. Our findings suggest that CO2 emissions increased at a rate of 0.42 ± 0.16 Tg C yr⁻1 during 2000 to 2020, and this is primarily driven by increased precipitation and accelerated permafrost thawing under climate change. This study highlights increased riverine carbon emission and strengthening of the permafrost carbon feedback to climate after incorporating carbon release from rivers.

Original languageEnglish
Article number3616
JournalNature Communications
Volume16
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

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