Rainfall overpowers tidal forcing in driving upper tidal flat erosion and channel evolution

Tidal flats are critical coastal ecosystems, with their geomorphic characteristics traditionally understood to be primarily influenced by tidal, wave, and storm forces. This study investigates the impact of rainfall on the morphodynamics of upper tidal flats by combining hydrodynamic-sediment data, meteorological rainfall records, and video monitoring at the Chongming Dongtan tidal flat in the Yangtze River Estuary, China. We show that rainfall significantly increases suspended sediment transport and accelerates tidal channel elongation. Notably, rainfall events—though occurring during only 25 % of observed tidal inundation periods—accounted for 62 % of cumulative net sediment transport. This disproportionate efficiency compared to tidal forcing stems from the rainfall-induced hydraulic connectivity between expansive supratidal areas and tidal channels, where concentrated runoff convergence intensifies scour dynamics. These findings challenge the traditional view of tidal flat dynamics, suggesting that rainfall is a more influential driver of morphodynamic change than previously recognized.