Prediction of probable tuna fishing grounds based on Bayesian theorem

  • Sufang Zhou*
  • , Wei Fan
  • , Jianping Wu
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Highly migratory tuna is one of economically important harvesting objects of the world. It is practically significant to forecast the probable fishing grounds. Based on satellite data of SST supplied by NASA and historical tuna catch data provided by SPC, relationship between catchbility and SST was studied. And then using the Bayesian theorem, a tuna probable fishing grounds prediction expert system was set up. The result of 40-years-hindcasting experiments shows that the predicting accuracy of skipjack fishing grounds in West Pacific is over 70%, which is significant to guide fishing operations. However, now fishing grounds transcendental probability and conditional probability are computed every month, it must be modified according to field survey data for future fishing grounds prediction every week.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2009 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2009
Pages156-162
Number of pages7
DOIs
StatePublished - 2009
Event2009 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2009 - Shanghai, China
Duration: 7 Nov 20098 Nov 2009

Publication series

Name2009 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2009
Volume4

Conference

Conference2009 International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Computational Intelligence, AICI 2009
Country/TerritoryChina
CityShanghai
Period7/11/098/11/09

Keywords

  • Bayesian probability
  • Fishing grounds
  • Prediction model
  • Tuna

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