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Optimal space-filling design for symmetrical global sensitivity analysis of complex black-box models

  • Central University of Finance and Economics
  • Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
  • Shanghai University of Finance and Economics

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, a novel concept of optimal space-filling identifiable design is proposed in the framework of symmetrical global sensitivity analysis for exploring complex black-box models. The initial identifiable design is first generated algorithmically. Then based on two commonly used measures of space filling, the ϕq and L2-discrepancy criterions, two optimal space-filling identifiable designs are proposed. The corresponding optimization algorithms are also given, in which adjacent identifiable designs are produced sequentially by using track substitution until the space-filling property has been optimized. By using the resulting optimal space-filling identifiable design, symmetrical global sensitivity indices can be directly estimated based on model outputs with high precision. Extensive theoretical and numerical results demonstrate the optimality and effectiveness of the proposed designs, as well as the superiority over the existing designs in the literature. Technical details are provided in the Appendix.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)303-319
Number of pages17
JournalApplied Mathematical Modelling
Volume100
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2021

Keywords

  • Complex black-box model
  • Identifiable design
  • Space filling
  • Symmetrical global sensitivity analysis
  • Track substitution

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