Nonparametric estimation of structural change points in volatility models for time series

  • Gongmeng Chen*
  • , Yoon K. Choi
  • , Yong Zhou
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

41 Scopus citations

Abstract

We propose a hybrid estimation procedure that combines the least squares and nonparametric methods to estimate change points of volatility in time series models. Its main advantage is that it does not require any specific form of marginal or transitional densities of the process. We also establish the asymptotic properties of the estimators when the regression and conditional volatility functions are not known. The proposed tests for change points of volatility are shown to be consistent and more powerful than the nonparametric ones in the literature. Finally, we provide simulations and empirical results using the Hong Kong stock market index (HSI) series.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)79-114
Number of pages36
JournalJournal of Econometrics
Volume126
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - May 2005
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Asymptotic properties
  • Change points in volatility
  • Least squares
  • Nonparametric estimation

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