Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene

Scott Glenn; Oscar Schofield; Josh Kohut; Louis Bowers; Michael Crowley; Rich Dunk; John Kerfoot; Travis Miles; Laura Palamara; Hugh Roarty; Greg Seroka; Yi Xu; Jay Titlow; Wendell Brown; William Boicourt; Larry Atkinson; Harvey Seim

doi:10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929

Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene

Scott Glenn, Oscar Schofield, Josh Kohut, Louis Bowers, Michael Crowley, Rich Dunk, John Kerfoot, Travis Miles, Laura Palamara, Hugh Roarty, Greg Seroka, Yi Xu, Jay Titlow, Wendell Brown, William Boicourt, Larry Atkinson, Harvey Seim

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

Hurricane Irene followed a track that curved northward over the Bahamas and ran directly over the U.S. east coast from Cape Hatteras to New England in August of 2011, causing severe storm surges, intense inland flooding, loss of life and over $8 billon in storm damage. While the ensemble of atmospheric forecast models accurately predicted the hurricane timing and track, the hurricane intensity was consistently over-predicted. Data from the U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) were used to better understand the potential impact of the Mid-Atlantic Bight's coastal ocean on the Hurricane Irene intensity forecast.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE
Subtitle of host publication	Harnessing the Power of the Ocean
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929
State	Published - 2012
Externally published	Yes
Event	OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE Hampton Roads Conference: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean - Virginia Beach, VA, United States Duration: 14 Oct 2012 → 19 Oct 2012

Publication series

Name	OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean

Conference

Conference	OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE Hampton Roads Conference: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean
Country/Territory	United States
City	Virginia Beach, VA
Period	14/10/12 → 19/10/12

Keywords

Air-Sea Interaction
Coastal Processes
HF Radar
Hurricane Forecasting
U.S. IOOS
Underwater Gliders

Access to Document

10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929

Cite this

Glenn, S., Schofield, O., Kohut, J., Bowers, L., Crowley, M., Dunk, R., Kerfoot, J., Miles, T., Palamara, L., Roarty, H., Seroka, G., Xu, Y., Titlow, J., Brown, W., Boicourt, W., Atkinson, L., & Seim, H. (2012). Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene. In OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean Article 6404929 (OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean). https://doi.org/10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929

@inproceedings{d98041d846244a31a3fcae97be3b81d3,

title = "Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene",

abstract = "Hurricane Irene followed a track that curved northward over the Bahamas and ran directly over the U.S. east coast from Cape Hatteras to New England in August of 2011, causing severe storm surges, intense inland flooding, loss of life and over \$8 billon in storm damage. While the ensemble of atmospheric forecast models accurately predicted the hurricane timing and track, the hurricane intensity was consistently over-predicted. Data from the U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) were used to better understand the potential impact of the Mid-Atlantic Bight's coastal ocean on the Hurricane Irene intensity forecast.",

keywords = "Air-Sea Interaction, Coastal Processes, HF Radar, Hurricane Forecasting, U.S. IOOS, Underwater Gliders",

author = "Scott Glenn and Oscar Schofield and Josh Kohut and Louis Bowers and Michael Crowley and Rich Dunk and John Kerfoot and Travis Miles and Laura Palamara and Hugh Roarty and Greg Seroka and Yi Xu and Jay Titlow and Wendell Brown and William Boicourt and Larry Atkinson and Harvey Seim",

year = "2012",

doi = "10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929",

language = "英语",

isbn = "9781467308298",

series = "OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean",

booktitle = "OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE",

note = "OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE Hampton Roads Conference: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean ; Conference date: 14-10-2012 Through 19-10-2012",

}

Glenn, S, Schofield, O, Kohut, J, Bowers, L, Crowley, M, Dunk, R, Kerfoot, J, Miles, T, Palamara, L, Roarty, H, Seroka, G, Xu, Y, Titlow, J, Brown, W, Boicourt, W, Atkinson, L & Seim, H 2012, Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene. in OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean., 6404929, OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean, OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE Hampton Roads Conference: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean, Virginia Beach, VA, United States, 14/10/12. https://doi.org/10.1109/OCEANS.2012.6404929

Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene. / Glenn, Scott; Schofield, Oscar; Kohut, Josh et al.
OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean. 2012. 6404929 (OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

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T1 - Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic

T2 - OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE Hampton Roads Conference: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean

AU - Glenn, Scott

AU - Schofield, Oscar

AU - Kohut, Josh

AU - Bowers, Louis

AU - Crowley, Michael

AU - Dunk, Rich

AU - Kerfoot, John

AU - Miles, Travis

AU - Palamara, Laura

AU - Roarty, Hugh

AU - Seroka, Greg

AU - Xu, Yi

AU - Titlow, Jay

AU - Brown, Wendell

AU - Boicourt, William

AU - Atkinson, Larry

AU - Seim, Harvey

PY - 2012

Y1 - 2012

N2 - Hurricane Irene followed a track that curved northward over the Bahamas and ran directly over the U.S. east coast from Cape Hatteras to New England in August of 2011, causing severe storm surges, intense inland flooding, loss of life and over $8 billon in storm damage. While the ensemble of atmospheric forecast models accurately predicted the hurricane timing and track, the hurricane intensity was consistently over-predicted. Data from the U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) were used to better understand the potential impact of the Mid-Atlantic Bight's coastal ocean on the Hurricane Irene intensity forecast.

AB - Hurricane Irene followed a track that curved northward over the Bahamas and ran directly over the U.S. east coast from Cape Hatteras to New England in August of 2011, causing severe storm surges, intense inland flooding, loss of life and over $8 billon in storm damage. While the ensemble of atmospheric forecast models accurately predicted the hurricane timing and track, the hurricane intensity was consistently over-predicted. Data from the U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS) were used to better understand the potential impact of the Mid-Atlantic Bight's coastal ocean on the Hurricane Irene intensity forecast.

KW - Air-Sea Interaction

KW - Coastal Processes

KW - HF Radar

KW - Hurricane Forecasting

KW - U.S. IOOS

KW - Underwater Gliders

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M3 - 会议稿件

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SN - 9781467308298

T3 - OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE: Harnessing the Power of the Ocean

BT - OCEANS 2012 MTS/IEEE

Y2 - 14 October 2012 through 19 October 2012

ER -

Impact of ocean observations on hurricane forecasts in the Mid-Atlantic: Forecasting lessons learned from Hurricane Irene

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