Has the Bosten Lake Basin been dry or wet during the climate transition in Northwest China in the past 30 years?

  • Haiqing Yang
  • , Jianhua Xu*
  • , Yaning Chen
  • , Dahui Li
  • , Jingping Zuo
  • , Nina Zhu
  • , Zhongsheng Chen
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

20 Scopus citations

Abstract

Research has shown that the climate in northwest China has turned to warm-wet in recent decades. Does this mean that the entire northwest of China has become wet in the last few decades? In the context of the climate transition in northwest China, this paper investigates whether the Bosten Lake Basin (BLB) located in southern Xinjiang has been dry or wet in the last 30 years. We used the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Temperature Vegetation Drought Index (TVDI) to investigate these changes. The results show that although the dry-wet changes indicated by the SPEI and TVDI exhibited slight spatiotemporal differences, the entire BLB reflected a tendency to be dry. That is, the BLB has not become wet during the climate transition in northwest China, but is developing a trend toward aridification. The main conclusions of this study are as follows: (1) The SPEI indicated a drying trend in seasonal and interannual variations in plains; in mountains, except in spring and summer it has a drying trend, too. (2) The TVDI showed that although the drying trend in summer and winter was weaker than that in spring and autumn in the BLB, where some regions represented a significant tendency toward wetness owing to seasonal or annual changes, the entire study area has still become more dry.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)627-644
Number of pages18
JournalTheoretical and Applied Climatology
Volume141
Issue number1-2
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jul 2020

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