Exogenous Isomorphism for Counterfactual Identifiability

  • Yikang Chen
  • , Dehui Du*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper investigates ~L3-identifiability, a form of complete counterfactual identifiability within the Pearl Causal Hierarchy (PCH) framework, ensuring that all Structural Causal Models (SCMs) satisfying the given assumptions provide consistent answers to all causal questions. To simplify this problem, we introduce exogenous isomorphism and propose ~EI-identifiability, reflecting the strength of model identifiability required for ~L3-identifiability. We explore sufficient assumptions for achieving ~EI-identifiability in two special classes of SCMs: Bijective SCMs (BSCMs), based on counterfactual transport, and Triangular Monotonic SCMs (TM-SCMs), which extend ~L2-identifiability. Our results unify and generalize existing theories, providing theoretical guarantees for practical applications. Finally, we leverage neural TM-SCMs to address the consistency problem in counterfactual reasoning, with experiments validating both the effectiveness of our method and the correctness of the theory.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)8022-8064
Number of pages43
JournalProceedings of Machine Learning Research
Volume267
StatePublished - 2025
Event42nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2025 - Vancouver, Canada
Duration: 13 Jul 202519 Jul 2025

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