Do overpaid dividends drive stock price crash risk?

  • Xiaoting Ling
  • , Yuan George Shan
  • , Wuqing Wu*
  • , Lu Zhang
  • , Xinyue Zhang
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We explore the impact of overpaid dividends on future stock price crash risk. Using a dataset of 2662 firms with 15,416 firm-year observations of China's A-share listed firms, our result indicates that overpaid dividends are positively related to the likelihood of future stock price crash risk. The results further suggest that high-quality corporate governance and financial analyst coverage can moderate the positive effect of overpaid dividends on the crash risk. Moreover, continuous overpaid dividends and state-owned enterprises with overpaid dividends have a stronger impact on the crash risk, and overpaid dividends are significantly affected by their peer firms.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7-58
Number of pages52
JournalEconomics and Politics
Volume37
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2025

Keywords

  • China
  • analyst coverage
  • corporate governance
  • overpaid dividends
  • stock price crash risk

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